Spain vs Argentina 2026 World Cup Final: Spain Slightly Favored at 55%

Spain and Argentina will clash on July 19 at the New York/New Jersey MetLife Stadium for the 2026 World Cup final. Spain seeks to reclaim the title it last won in 2010, while Argentina brings the tournament’s most potent attack.

The model assigns Spain a 54. 6% chance to win, with the sides separated by just 32 Elo points.

The encounter promises to be one of the most tightly contested finals in football history.